Close But No Cigar: Zags Seventh #1 Seed Winning Opener By < Seven Points

Close only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades, bombs, government work and drive-in movies. A No. 16 seed has never defeated a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament in 116 such matchups since the playoff field expanded to at least 64 teams in 1985.

But when Gonzaga and Kansas became the 13th and 14th #1 seeds to win an opener by a single digit, it seems almost inevitable that somehow/somewhere/someway/someday a #16 seed will prevail and become the ultimate giant killer. If history means anything, the single-digit results reveal a chink in the armours of Gonzaga and KU. Prospects don't look promising for them winning the NCAA title because none of the first 12 #1 seeds in this "shaky-start" category went on to capture the championship and only three of them - Duke '86, Illinois '89 and North Carolina '97 - advanced to the Final Four.

Year Margin Regional Single-Digit Outcome Between #1 and #16 NCAA Playoff Seeds
1989 1 East Georgetown 50 (Mourning team-high 21 points), Princeton 49 (Scrabis 15)
1989 1 Southeast Oklahoma 72 (King 28), East Tennessee State 71 (Dennis 20)
1996 2 West Purdue 73 (Austin 18), Western Carolina 71 (McCollum 21)
1985 4 Southeast Michigan 59 (Tarpley 15), Fairleigh Dickinson 55 (Wilson 12)
1990 4 Southeast Michigan State 75 (Smith 22), Murray State 71 (Jones 37)*
1989 6 Midwest Illinois 77 (Battle 18), McNeese State 71 (Cutright 28)
2013 6 West Gonzaga 64 (Olynyk 21), Southern 58 (Beltran 21)
1986 7 East Duke 85 (Dawkins 27), Mississippi Valley State 78 (Coleman 24)
2012 7 East Syracuse 72 (Southerland 15), UNC Asheville 65 (Primm 18)
2013 7 South Kansas 64 (Withey 17), Western Kentucky 57 (Crook 13)
1997 8 East North Carolina 82 (Carter 22), Fairfield 74 (Francis 26)
1986 9 West St. John's 83 (Berry 31), Montana State 74 (Hampton 21)
1990 9 Midwest Oklahoma 77 (Jones 19), Towson State 68 (Lee 30)
1996 9 Southeast Connecticut 68 (Allen 24), Colgate 59 (Foyle 21)

*Overtime.