Mercer Me: Shock Treatment Prevalent Amid Bottom of Bracket Racket

In the first six years of the NCAA Tournament seeding process from 1979 through 1984 when the playoff field ranged from 40 to 53 teams, a total of 13 No. 1 and 2 seeds lost their openers. The NCAA tourney hasn't been saturated with authentic upsets since the playoff field expanded to at least 64 teams in 1985, but there has been only four years without a first-round shocker from the bottom of the bracket (1994, 2000, 2004 and 2007).

Teams seeded 13th or worse defeated teams seeded among the top four in a regional a total of 49 times in the last 30 years after #14 Mercer upset #3 Duke. It was really ugly a couple of times for SEC members when Navy overwhelmed LSU by 23 points in 1985 and Siena smothered Vanderbilt by 21 in 2008.

Thirty-six of the first 49 poignant surprises were decided by fewer than seven points or in overtime. Arizona's stunning defeat against Santa Clara in 1993 materialized despite the Wildcats reeling off 25 unanswered points in a stretch bridging the last five minutes of the first half and the first five minutes of the second half.

A #16 seed never has defeated a #1. But following is a rundown of the first 49 first-round knockouts by the bottom of the bracket (#13, #14 and #15 seeds) since the NCAA field expanded to at least 64 teams in 1985:

#15 seed (7 victories)

Year #15 Seed Winner #2 Seed Loser Score
1991 Richmond Syracuse 73-69
1993 Santa Clara Arizona 64-61
1997 Coppin State South Carolina 78-65
2001 Hampton Iowa State 58-57
2012 Lehigh Duke 75-70
2012 Norfolk State Missouri 86-84
2013 Florida Gulf Coast Georgetown 78-68

#14 seed (17 victories)

Year #14 Seed Winner #3 Seed Loser Score
1986 Arkansas-Little Rock Notre Dame 90-83
1986 Cleveland State Indiana 83-79
1987 Austin Peay State Illinois 68-67
1988 Murray State North Carolina State 78-75
1989 Siena Stanford 80-78
1990 Northern Iowa Missouri 74-71
1991 Xavier Nebraska 89-84
1992 East Tennessee State Arizona 87-80
1995 Weber State Michigan State 79-72
1995 Old Dominion Villanova 89-81 (3OT)
1997 Tennessee-Chattanooga Georgia 73-70
1998 Richmond South Carolina 62-61
1999 Weber State North Carolina 76-74
2005 Bucknell Kansas 64-63
2006 Northwestern State Iowa 64-63
2013 Harvard New Mexico 68-62
2014 Mercer Duke 78-71

#13 seed (25 victories)

Year #13 Seed Winner #4 Seed Loser Score
1985 Navy Louisiana State 78-55
1987 Southwest Missouri State Clemson 65-60
1987 Xavier Missouri 70-69
1988 Richmond Indiana 72-69
1989 Middle Tennessee State Florida State 97-83
1991 Penn State UCLA 74-69
1992 Southwestern Louisiana Oklahoma 87-83
1993 Southern (La.) Georgia Tech 93-78
1995 Manhattan Oklahoma 77-67
1996 Princeton UCLA 43-41
1998 Valparaiso Mississippi 70-69
1999 Oklahoma Arizona 61-60
2001 Indiana State Oklahoma 70-68 (OT)
2001 Kent State Indiana 77-73
2002 UNC Wilmington Southern California 93-89 (OT)
2003 Tulsa Dayton 84-71
2005 Vermont Syracuse 60-57 (OT)
2006 Bradley Kansas 77-73
2008 San Diego Connecticut 70-69 (OT)
2008 Siena Vanderbilt 83-62
2009 Cleveland State Wake Forest 84-69
2010 Murray State Vanderbilt 66-65
2011 Morehead State Louisville 62-61
2012 Ohio University Michigan 65-60
2013 La Salle Kansas State 63-61